*Based on current 14 day average of 1.3k daily vaccinations and many assumptions
**Freedom not guaranteed
I've calculated the Freedom date of 16th Sep as the date the UK could potentially reach herd immunity through vaccination of 80% of the population.
This 80% figure is based on comments Anthony Fauci made, and is an optimistic assumption that a single dose will give enough immunity.
This date should be taken with a massive pinch of salt, no-one knows yet what will be needed to reach herd immunity. Also I'm a developer and not a epidemiologist. One thing we can say is that the success so far of the vaccination programme in the UK should be a source of great optimism and is a massive credit the the NHS. I built this as a way to celebrate that optimism.
I recommend listening to the How to Vaccinate the World podcast if you want to hear from actual experts about the national and international vaccine rollout. UPDATE: This tool was featured in the listener questions section of this episode of How to Vaccinate the world.
This was built by Ted Littledale in January 2021. Please check out some of my other data visualisations.